Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.308913 0.413760 0.535633 0.685589 0.862947 1.063925 1.306733
2025-12-21 0.163905 0.283120 0.444959 0.670556 0.966746 1.332670 1.808841
2025-12-28 0.090840 0.207414 0.392600 0.681609 1.095320 1.641626 2.391988
2026-01-04 0.047696 0.150942 0.344903 0.682130 1.203179 1.930464 2.973316
2026-01-11 0.021516 0.104021 0.292214 0.657996 1.266033 2.158589 3.487480
2026-01-18 0.008721 0.072309 0.251708 0.640329 1.330507 2.388642 4.014299
2026-01-25 0.003346 0.053310 0.227748 0.644111 1.425714 2.666689 4.620718
2026-02-01 0.000722 0.035293 0.194342 0.618902 1.465198 2.858809 5.108779
2026-02-08 0.000162 0.028179 0.187445 0.646904 1.599582 3.205206 5.838223
2026-02-15 0.000005 0.020198 0.171014 0.648283 1.683229 3.472896 6.458006
2026-02-22 NaN 0.017700 0.174327 0.697739 1.861870 3.903758 7.341315
2026-03-01 NaN 0.014309 0.170578 0.727935 2.004484 4.280116 8.151487
2026-03-08 NaN 0.010336 0.159650 0.737802 2.110053 4.603966 8.899308
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006449 0.142203 0.724426 2.166215 4.845951 9.527036
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004480 0.134358 0.737372 2.278510 5.190056 10.328016
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002797 0.123844 0.738577 2.364578 5.490514 11.066366
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001317 0.107247 0.713370 2.388324 5.679147 11.627211
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000551 0.094023 0.694828 2.424210 5.889883 12.228812
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000250 0.087310 0.698917 2.513155 6.201291 13.004682
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000047 0.074526 0.672248 2.524189 6.366204 13.538483
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000020 0.074405 0.701941 2.677471 6.805961 14.545919
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000002 0.068716 0.703413 2.759061 7.110727 15.330184
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000001 0.073037 0.755772 2.975216 7.681475 16.579236